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Airdrop Win Probability Calculator

Airdrop Probability Calculator
How the ONUS x CoinMarketCap Airdrop Worked: 6.2 million people participated for 5,000 winners. Your chance was approximately 0.08%.
Your probability of winning is 0.08% (1 in 1,255 people).
1 in 1,255

Equivalent to drawing the winning ticket

0.08%

Similar to winning a major lottery

5,000 winners

from 6.2 million entries

Back in March 2022, over six million people signed up for a single crypto airdrop - not because it promised millions of dollars, but because it was simple, credible, and backed by CoinMarketCap. The ONUS x CoinMarketCap airdrop wasn’t the biggest in terms of cash value, but it was one of the most effective in terms of reach and real-world adoption. For a prize pool of 75,000 ONUS tokens (worth about $50,000 at the time), the campaign drew more participants than most major exchange listings. And here’s the thing: most of them didn’t even know what ONUS was before they clicked.

How the Airdrop Actually Worked

You didn’t need to buy anything. You didn’t need to send crypto. You didn’t even need to hold any tokens to enter. All you had to do was complete a few basic steps on CoinMarketCap’s platform. The first step? Add ONUS to your watchlist. That’s it. No wallet connection. No KYC. No hidden fees. Just a simple action that told CoinMarketCap you were interested in the token.

After that, participants were asked to follow ONUS on social media - Twitter, Telegram, Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube. Each platform counted as a separate step. Some reports suggest you had to complete all of them to qualify. Others say just a few were mandatory. Either way, the barrier to entry was low enough that even casual crypto users could join. And that’s what made it explode.

The campaign ran for exactly 20 days, ending at 12:00 UTC on March 20, 2022. By then, 6,277,789 people had signed up. That’s over six million entries. Only 5,000 winners were chosen at random. Your odds? Roughly 0.08%. It wasn’t about luck - it was about volume. ONUS didn’t need every participant to become a long-term holder. They just needed exposure.

Why CoinMarketCap Made All the Difference

CoinMarketCap wasn’t just a platform. It was the go-to source for millions of crypto users checking prices, tracking trends, and discovering new tokens. By partnering with them, ONUS tapped into a built-in audience of people already actively engaged with cryptocurrency. No ads. No paid influencers. Just a trusted brand putting ONUS in front of people who cared.

This wasn’t a random shoutout. CoinMarketCap had a reputation for fairness. Their airdrops didn’t get flooded with bots because they used wallet analysis to filter out fake accounts. That’s why the 6.2 million participants were real - not inflated by scripts or fake profiles. And that’s why the campaign worked so well. People trusted it.

Plus, CoinMarketCap’s interface made participation frictionless. You didn’t have to leave the site. You didn’t need to download anything. Just log in, click a few buttons, and you were in. That simplicity was key. Most airdrops die because they’re too complicated. This one didn’t.

Where Did the Tokens Go? The RICE Wallet Requirement

Here’s where ONUS got smart. Winners didn’t get their tokens sent to any wallet. They had to claim them through RICE Wallet - ONUS’s own mobile app. And you had to do it before April 1, 2022, or you lost your prize. That wasn’t just a distribution method. It was a user acquisition strategy.

RICE Wallet wasn’t just a crypto wallet. It was ONUS’s gateway to its entire ecosystem - a place where users could trade, earn, and participate in future airdrops. By forcing winners to install the app, ONUS turned 5,000 lucky people into active users of their platform. And those users? They brought friends. They talked about it. They started using ONUS for other things.

The result? Thousands of new wallets were created. Thousands of new trading accounts were opened. And ONUS didn’t have to spend a dime on ads to get them.

RICE Wallet app receiving golden keys that unlock ONUS tokens and ecosystem

What Happened to ONUS After the Airdrop?

The airdrop didn’t just boost awareness - it laid the foundation for ONUS’s long-term growth. By July 17, 2025, the project completed its two-year token vesting schedule. That meant all remaining tokens were released into circulation, increasing liquidity and reducing sell pressure from early investors.

Then came the platform upgrades. In August 2025, ONUS slashed futures trading fees for VIP users. Makers paid as low as 0.01%, takers 0.025%. To reach VIP 3 status, you only needed 2,500 ONUS tokens - half of what it used to be. These weren’t random changes. They were designed to keep users on the platform, trading, and holding.

Even more telling: in September 2025, ONUS quietly delisted three tokens - BakeryToken, Hifi Finance, and Self Chain - after Binance removed them. But here’s the twist: users who held any of those tokens above 100 USDT equivalent got them automatically converted into ONUS. No action needed. Just a backend swap.

That move created instant demand. People who held those delisted tokens suddenly had to buy ONUS to avoid losing value. It wasn’t a marketing campaign. It was a built-in price support mechanism.

Why This Airdrop Still Matters Today

Most airdrops fade into obscurity. Tokens get forgotten. Wallets go unused. But ONUS didn’t just run a campaign - it built a system. The 2022 airdrop wasn’t the end. It was the start of a feedback loop: more users → more trading → more utility → more demand.

As of November 2025, ONUS trades around $0.6956 USD with a daily volume of over $1.26 million. That’s not a flash in the pan. That’s a token with real infrastructure behind it. And it all started with a simple watchlist click.

The lesson? The best airdrops aren’t the ones with the biggest prizes. They’re the ones that turn participants into users. ONUS didn’t give away tokens. They gave away access to a platform that kept growing - and kept rewarding people who stayed.

ONUS token tree growing from trading volume, converting delisted tokens into leaves

What You Can Learn From This Airdrop

If you’re thinking about launching or joining an airdrop today, here’s what you should remember:

  • Trust matters more than rewards. CoinMarketCap’s name gave this campaign credibility.
  • Simplicity wins. If it takes more than three clicks, people won’t do it.
  • Use airdrops to drive adoption, not just attention. ONUS didn’t just hand out tokens - they onboarding users to their ecosystem.
  • Timing counts. The campaign launched during a volatile but active market - perfect for catching attention.
  • Long-term utility beats short-term hype. ONUS kept building after the airdrop ended.

Is There Still a Chance to Get ONUS Tokens for Free?

No. The original ONUS x CoinMarketCap airdrop ended in March 2022. The winners were paid out in April 2022. There are no active claims left. Any site claiming to offer “late claims” or “recovery options” is a scam.

But that doesn’t mean ONUS is done with airdrops. The platform continues to run promotions through RICE Wallet - including new campaigns tied to futures trading, staking, and referral bonuses. If you want to earn ONUS today, your best bet is to download RICE Wallet, trade on it, and keep an eye out for new promotions.

Is ONUS Worth Holding Now?

That depends on what you’re looking for. If you want a token with a clear roadmap, active development, and real utility - yes. ONUS isn’t just another meme coin. It’s a functional blockchain token with DeFi features, cross-chain support, and a growing trading ecosystem.

Its recent fee reductions, forced token conversions, and vesting completion all point to a team focused on long-term value, not quick pumps. The token’s price has stabilized after the 2025 vesting release, and trading volume remains healthy.

If you’re looking for a speculative play, maybe not. But if you want to be part of a project that’s still building - not just marketing - then ONUS is worth watching.

Was the ONUS x CoinMarketCap airdrop real?

Yes, it was real. It ran from March 1 to March 20, 2022, with 6.2 million participants and 5,000 verified winners. The tokens were distributed through RICE Wallet, and the campaign was officially announced on CoinMarketCap’s blog and ONUS’s social channels. No fake or scam versions were authorized.

How many people won the ONUS airdrop?

Exactly 5,000 participants were randomly selected to win. Each winner received 15 ONUS tokens - totaling the 75,000 ONUS prize pool. With over six million entries, the chance of winning was less than 0.1%.

Do I need RICE Wallet to claim ONUS tokens?

Yes, for the original 2022 airdrop, winners had to claim their tokens through RICE Wallet. Even today, if you earn ONUS through promotions or trading, RICE Wallet is the primary app for managing your balance, trading, and accessing future airdrops. It’s ONUS’s official wallet and ecosystem hub.

Can I still get free ONUS tokens?

Not from the 2022 CoinMarketCap campaign - it’s long over. But ONUS regularly runs new promotions through RICE Wallet, including trading rewards, referral bonuses, and staking incentives. Check the RICE Wallet app for current offers.

What’s the current price of ONUS?

As of November 2025, ONUS trades at approximately $0.6956 USD. Its 24-hour trading volume is around $1.26 million, and it’s listed on multiple exchanges including ONUS’s own platform and select decentralized exchanges.

Why did ONUS choose CoinMarketCap for the airdrop?

CoinMarketCap had (and still has) the largest global audience for crypto price data. By partnering with them, ONUS gained instant credibility and access to millions of active users who were already researching tokens. It was a low-cost, high-reach way to build awareness without paid ads.

Did the airdrop help ONUS’s price go up?

It helped build long-term demand. While the immediate price impact after the airdrop was modest, the real effect came from user retention. Thousands of new RICE Wallet users started trading and holding ONUS. That steady demand, combined with later platform upgrades and forced conversions, created a stronger foundation than most airdrops achieve.

4 Comments
  • Joy Whitenburg
    Joy Whitenburg

    So… you just clicked a watchlist and got free crypto? 😳 I did that and forgot about it until my phone blew up with RICE Wallet notifications six months later. Still have the tokens. Still use the app. Honestly? Best 30 seconds of my life.

  • Raymond Day
    Raymond Day

    Let me guess - you’re one of those people who thinks ‘simple’ means ‘no effort.’ 🤡 This wasn’t an airdrop. It was a psychological trap. They knew you’d click. They knew you’d follow. They knew you’d never delete the app. And now? You’re part of their ecosystem. Congrats. You got gamified.

  • Michael Brooks
    Michael Brooks

    Actually, this is one of the few airdrops that did it right. No KYC, no gas fees, no sketchy smart contracts. Just a trusted platform with a clean UX. Most projects think they need to offer $10,000 to get attention. ONUS just gave people a reason to stick around. And it worked. The token’s price didn’t pump because of hype - it held because users kept trading. That’s rare.

  • Michelle Elizabeth
    Michelle Elizabeth

    How quaint. A mere 6.2 million souls, each a humble supplicant before the altar of CoinMarketCap’s sacred watchlist. One must marvel at the elegant simplicity - a digital sacrament performed without even the burden of a wallet connection. Truly, the gods of Web3 have descended, not with fire and brimstone, but with a single, benevolent button labeled ‘Add to Watchlist.’ How… poetic.

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